Journal of Applied Mathematics and Decision Sciences
Volume 2006 (2006), Article ID 16018, 15 pages

Mathematical modelling of information age conflict

James Moffat

Policy and Capability Studies Department, Defence Science and Technology Laboratory (Dstl), Ively Road, Farnborough, Hampshire GU14 0LX, UK

Received 1 March 2005; Accepted 31 March 2006

Copyright © 2006 James Moffat. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.


Previous mathematical modelling of conflict has been based on Lanchester's equations, which relate to the grinding attrition of “industrial-age” warfare. Large blocks of force interact in order to force defeat by a process of wearing away the other. This is no longer so relevant as a way of conceptualising warfare, and we generalise the approach so that it is more appropriate to the “information age” into which we are now moving. It turns out that the solution to this problem is the development of a theory of what we call “scale-free systems.” We first develop this theory, and then indicate how it can be applied.