Electronic Communications in Probability http://ecp.ejpecp.org/ <p><strong></strong>The <strong>Electronic Communications in Probability</strong> (ECP) publishes short research articles in probability theory. Its sister journal, the <a href="http://ejp.ejpecp.org/" target="_self">Electronic Journal of Probability</a> (EJP), publishes full-length articles in probability theory. Short papers, those less than 12 pages, should be submitted to ECP first. EJP and ECP share the same editorial board, but with different Editors in Chief.</p><p>EJP and ECP are free access official journals of the <a href="http://www.imstat.org/">Institute of Mathematical Statistics</a> (IMS) and the <a href="http://isi.cbs.nl/BS/bshome.htm"> Bernoulli Society</a>. This web site uses the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open_Journal_Systems">Open Journal System</a> (OJS) free software developed by the non-profit organization <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_Knowledge_Project">Public Knowledge Project</a> (PKP).</p><p>Please consider donating to the <a href="http://www.imstat.org/publications/open.htm" target="_blank">Open Access Fund</a> of the IMS at this <a href="https://secure.imstat.org/secure/orders/donations.asp" target="_blank"><strong>page</strong></a> to keep the journal free.</p> en-US Electronic Communications in Probability 1083-589X The Electronic Journal of Probability applies the <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/legalcode" target="_blank">Creative Commons Attribution License</a> (CCAL) to all articles we publish in this journal. Under the CCAL, authors retain ownership of the copyright for their article, but authors allow anyone to download, reuse, reprint, modify, distribute, and/or copy articles published in EJP, so long as the original authors and source are credited. This broad license was developed to facilitate open access to, and free use of, original works of all types. Applying this standard license to your work will ensure your right to make your work freely and openly available.<br /><br /><strong>Summary of the Creative Commons Attribution License</strong><br /><br />You are free<br /><ul><li> to copy, distribute, display, and perform the work</li><li> to make derivative works</li><li> to make commercial use of the work</li></ul>under the following condition of Attribution: others must attribute the work if displayed on the web or stored in any electronic archive by making a link back to the website of EJP via its Digital Object Identifier (DOI), or if published in other media by acknowledging prior publication in this Journal with a precise citation including the DOI. For any further reuse or distribution, the same terms apply. Any of these conditions can be waived by permission of the Corresponding Author. Representation theorems for SPDEs via backward doubly http://ecp.ejpecp.org/article/view/2223 In this paper we establish a probabilistic representation for the spatial gradient ofthe viscosity solution to a quasilinear parabolic stochastic partial differential equations(SPDE, for short) in the spirit of the Feynman-Kac formula, without using thederivatives of the coefficients of the corresponding backward doubly stochastic differentialequations (FBDSDE, for short). Auguste Aman Abouo Elouaflin Mamadou Abdoul Diop 2013-07-25 2013-07-25 18 Some properties of generalized anticipated backward stochastic differential equations http://ecp.ejpecp.org/article/view/2415 In this paper, after recalling the definition of generalized anticipated backward stochastic differential equations (generalized anticipated BSDEs for short) and the existence and uniqueness theorem for their solutions, we show there is a duality between them and stochastic differential delay equations. We then provide a continuous dependence property for their solutions with respect to the parameters and finally establish a comparison result for the solutions of these equations. Zhe Yang Robert J. Elliott 2013-07-19 2013-07-19 18 Exact simulation of Hawkes process with exponentially decaying intensity http://ecp.ejpecp.org/article/view/2717 We introduce a numerically efficient simulation algorithm for Hawkes process with exponentially decaying intensity, a special case of general Hawkes process that is most widely implemented in practice. This computational method is able to exactly generate the point process and intensity process, by sampling interarrival times directly via the underlying analytic distribution functions without numerical inverse, and hence avoids simulating intensity paths and introducing discretisation bias. Moreover, it is flexible to generate points with either stationary or non-stationary intensity, starting from any arbitrary time with any arbitrary initial intensity. It is also straightforward to implement, and can easily extend to multi-dimensional versions, for further applications in modelling contagion risk or clustering arrival of events in finance, insurance, economics and many other fields. Simulation algorithms for one dimension and multi-dimension are represented, with numerical examples of univariate and bivariate processes provided as illustrations. Angelos Dassios Hongbiao Zhao 2013-07-15 2013-07-15 18 How big are the $l^\infty$-valued random fields? http://ecp.ejpecp.org/article/view/2417 In this paper we establish path properties and a generalized uniform law of the iterated logarithm (LIL) for strictly stationary and linearly positive quadrant dependent (LPQD) or linearly negative quadrant dependent (LNQD) random fields taking values in $l^\infty$-space. Hee-Jin Moon Chang-Ho Han Yong-Kab Choi 2013-07-13 2013-07-13 18 Mixing time bounds for oriented kinetically constrained spin models http://ecp.ejpecp.org/article/view/2516 <p class="p1">We analyze the mixing time of a class of oriented kinetically constrained spin models (KCMs) on a d-dimensional lattice of n sites. A typical example is the North-East model, a 0-1 spin system on the two-dimensional integer lattice that evolves according to the following rule: whenever a site’s southerly and westerly nearest neighbours have spin 0, with rate one it resets its own spin by tossing a p-coin, at all other times its spin remains frozen. Such models are very popular in statistical physics because, in spite of their simplicity, they display some of the key features of the dynamics of real glasses. We prove that the mixing time is O(n log n) whenever the relaxation time is O(1). Our study was motivated by the “shape” conjecture put forward by G. Kordzakhia and S.P. Lalley.</p> Paul Chleboun Fabio Martinelli 2013-07-12 2013-07-12 18